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Importance of Risk -- By: Bill Kraft
Copyright 2010, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
 Bill Kraft Editor |
Over the last couple of weekends, I wrote about prioritizing
trading skills and a subscriber emailed to emphasize the issue of
risk. Probably nothing is more important than the concept of and
issues surrounding risk. In fact, I wrote "Trade Your Way to Wealth"
with the specific purpose of addressing risk awareness and risk
management. In the book, I discuss a number of ways to manage and
reduce risk because I am convinced that all too many traders and
investors either fail to understand or at least fail to pay attention
to the risk attendant to their trading.
Trading is risky, and it is even riskier if the trader fails to
appreciate just what risk he is taking. Buying a stock, quite simply,
is a high risk proposition. The whole investment is at risk unless
some hedge is also employed. Over the years I've heard investors say
things like: "Yes, owning stock may be risky, but I have shares in a
good company so I really don't have that much risk." Unfortunately,
as so many have learned the hard way, that just isn't necessarily so.
As an example, a couple of years ago when Citigroup (C) was
trading near $40 a subscriber took me to task when I reiterated that I
believed buy and hold was a dangerous strategy (when there was no exit
plan). He wrote telling me he should be writing these articles and I
didn't know what I was talking about since he and his family held
Citigroup (C)(which he referred to as "that old doggie") since it was
trading around $14. Quite an accomplishment now that the stock has not
traded above $5.50 since early 2009. All we need consider is the
disappearance of once great companies like Lehman Bros. or Washington
Mutual. The list of once good companies that have since disappeared
is shockingly long.
Most, if not all, of the priorities I discussed in the last two
articles are specifically related to management of risk. Consider,
for example, entry decisions and strategies. I personally use an
entry strategy that attempts to assure my initial exit is nearby in
the event I am wrong on direction. In other words, part of my plan
recognizes that I can be wrong and if I am I have an exit strategy
that helps reduce risk by cutting losses quickly. So, too, do
principles like money management, reward to risk ratios, pre-planning
a trade, and knowledge of types and uses of orders help manage my
risk. If I am not utilizing such skills I am opening myself to
greater risk. While risk can rarely be removed completely, we can and
should take sensible measures to manage and alleviate the risks of our
trading.
Once again, it comes down to our trading education. Unless we
know, for example, what a protective put is and how it works, we don't
know how to use it to reduce our risk. As a parting word this
weekend, consider, if you will, what is more dangerous in the stock
market than simply buying a stock? Is selling a naked put more
dangerous than buying a stock? How about buying a call on the stock?
How does the risk of owning a stock change if you also sell a covered
call or buy a protective put? All these strategies and many others
can be used to manage risk as long as we know what they are and how to
use them. I cover these concepts in "Trade Your Way to Wealth" , but
the information can be found many other places as well. It makes
sense to know the answers ahead of time.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
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Here is a play from the Success Trading Group:
AT&T, Inc. (T)
Our Success Trading Group will be watching closely for entry points next
week. We currently like AT&T (Ticker: T) at its current price for new
positions.
Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
Success Trading Group Team
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Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
FedEx Corporation (FDX)
After reaching the early year lows on the 5th and 8th of
this month, FDX has enjoyed a steady move up that looks like it may
not yet have finished. Recently, the price cleared the 20 day moving
average and I am looking for a dip in that range or a break above the
little resistance around 85 for a possible entry into some in the
money LEAPS calls.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
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Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP)
CHKP has been climbing steadily, if gently, since the low
at the beginning of February. A break above Friday's high may be a
signal for a continuation of this upward trend.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service
and Get $50 off our Normal Website Rate!
$10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.
Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:
CROCS Inc. (CROX)
$10 Trader closed a position in CROX on Thursday to
capture a 7.5% gain before commission in only 10 days. The stock
stopped at a resistance on the weekly chart on Friday and a move above
$8 could signal some genuine strength.
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
"Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!
"Smart Investors Money Machine" is Bill Kraft's most recent publication.
"Trading for Keeps: Making Money with Low Risk Option Trades" a trading DVD by Bill Kraft
Try our Under $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
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